XRP Price: Whale Buying Spree Fuels Rally Potential – Is a Rebound on the Horizon?

TLDR

• XRP’s Sharpe Ratio shifted to a slight positive on March 26, indicating current returns surpass risk
• Whale inflows have averaged $9 million daily over 30 days—this marks the longest accumulation phase since April–July 2025
• Open interest rose 14.8% in 24 hours on March 26, yet repeated long liquidations signal an unstable futures market
• XRP has broken down from a bullish triangle pattern, falling 13.63% in 10 days, with support levels at $1.27 and $1.11 in focus
• Long-term forecasts from analysts and models range from $5.35 by 2030 to as high as $17–$27 in multi-year projections

(SeaPRwire) –   XRP is trading in the $1.33–$1.40 range, hitting a low price point following a tough stretch of price movement. The asset has fallen 13.63% over the past 10 days after breaking down from a bullish ascending triangle pattern.

Despite that drop, some on-chain data reveals early signs of improvement below the surface.

XRP’s Sharpe Ratio became slightly positive on March 26. Its 30-day average return is 0.00063, with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.0267. Crypto analyst Arab Chain noted the reading implies “current returns still exceed risk” and points to a “gradual positive rebalancing” for the altcoin. The analyst added that if the indicator falls back to negative territory, it could signal a return of volatility.

Whale activity has also picked up. The 30-day moving average for XRP whale inflows now stands at $9 million daily. This accumulation period has lasted since February 27—the longest streak since the April to July 2025 period. That prior phase ended with XRP hitting an all-time high of $3.65 on July 18, 2025.

Futures Market Showing Stress

Crypto analyst Amr Taha pointed out that the 24-hour change in open interest reached 14.8% on March 26—the highest since March 4. This signals renewed trader participation. However, the data also shows a pattern where aggressive long positions are repeatedly liquidated.

Liquidations exceeding $2.5 million occurred on March 18, followed by $2.45 million on March 21 and $2.15 million on March 26. These repeated losses indicate a fragile futures setup, where traders are repeatedly reset amid short-term volatility.

If current market conditions persist, analysts expect possible retests of support around $1.27 and the year’s low of $1.11.

Long-Term Price Targets Vary Widely

Analyst Egrag Crypto has identified a macro ascending triangle structure for XRP with Fibonacci targets of $8, $17, and $27, describing the current pullback as a “retest phase” that is “normal and necessary.” Another analyst, Dark Defender, believes XRP could move into the $5 range.

#XRP – Macro Ascending Triangle ($8 → $17 → $27):

This is not random price action….. this is structure playing out over years.

Macro View:
#XRP is holding a multi-year ascending trend (MYATL)
Formed a macro ascending triangle
Brokeout already happened → now… pic.twitter.com/LqmVgYmoGF

— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) March 22, 2026

CoinCodex models forecast XRP at $1.64 by the end of 2026, $5.35 by 2030, $8.06 by 2040, and $13.42 by 2050.

The passage of a crypto clarity bill is also cited as a potential catalyst, given XRP’s history of being directly impacted by regulatory uncertainty.

XRP whale inflows have remained positive for over a month, with the 30-day moving average at $9 million daily as of late March 2026.