TLDR

  • Micron disclosed fiscal Q2 2026 revenue of $23.86 billion and adjusted EPS of $12.20, both exceeding expectations
  • Q3 2026 revenue guidance of approximately $33.5 billion significantly outpaced Wall Street projections
  • Micron increased its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure plan to over $25 billion, a rise of roughly $5 billion from prior guidance
  • The stock declined post-earnings despite strong results, as investors reacted to the elevated spending plan
  • Wall Street sentiment remains solidly bullish, with 29 Buy ratings, 5 Strong Buy ratings, and zero Sell ratings per MarketBeat

(SeaPRwire) –   Micron Technology reported a standout quarter on March 19, yet the market raised concerns. Robust revenue and a record level of free cash flow were insufficient to halt the stock’s decline, as investors honed in on a sharply increased capital spending plan.

Micron Technology, Inc., MU
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Micron posted fiscal second-quarter 2026 revenue of $23.86 billion and adjusted earnings of $12.20 per share. The company also noted it closed the quarter with $16.7 billion in cash and investments, marking a record for free cash flow.

The figures were substantial. However, the guidance took center stage—with both positive and negative implications.

Micron projected fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of around $33.5 billion. This far exceeded Wall Street estimates. The company attributed this to surging demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) used in AI data centers and accelerators.

HBM is the current product of choice. Micron stands as one of only three major global suppliers, alongside Samsung and SK hynix. This tight supply dynamic has supported pricing and profit margins.

Why the Stock Dropped

Despite the strong performance, Micron’s stock fell after the earnings release. The cause was a revised capital expenditure plan.

Micron stated fiscal 2026 capex will now exceed $25 billion, an increase of about $5 billion from its prior guidance. The company cited the need to expand clean-room capacity and ramp up DRAM production to meet AI-related demand.

This reflects a familiar tension in the semiconductor industry—investing heavily to capture demand, yet risking oversupply if the cycle shifts. Memory firms have faced such issues before, and investors recall these instances.

There is also the factor of the stock’s prior rally. Micron had surged over 61% in 2026 ahead of Thursday’s drop, following strong gains in 2025. At these levels, some profit-taking in response to any perceived risk is unsurprising.

Analysts Stay Bullish

Wall Street remained unfazed. According to MarketBeat data published on March 19, Micron holds five Strong Buy ratings, 29 Buy ratings, and four Hold ratings. There are no Sell ratings.

This represents a unanimous bullish stance. The four Hold ratings signal some caution at current valuations, but no analysts are recommending a sell.

Price targets adjusted following the report as analysts updated their models. MarketBeat’s tracked consensus range settled between approximately $425.62 and $446.66.

Subsequent target hikes followed. Needham raised its price target to $500. UBS also lifted its target and maintained a Buy rating. Both firms highlighted the sustained nature of AI-driven memory demand as the key rationale.

These $500 targets are not merely headline-chasing—they reflect the view that Micron’s AI tailwind has more momentum than the market is accounting for.

The discussion around the stock has evolved. It is no longer about whether Micron is recovering. It now centers on whether the company can sustain growth without overspending.

For now, analysts are optimistic. With 34 Buy or Strong Buy ratings and no Sells in the latest MarketBeat data, Micron remains one of the most widely endorsed names in the AI chip sector.

The stock fell on March 19. The analyst community did not follow suit.

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