On the forecast track, the tropical cyclone may enter the PAR region between tomorrow late evening and Sunday morning. Once inside the PAR, the domestic name ‘Falcon’ will be assigned to this tropical cyclone.
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| Satellite image of Tropical Storm ‘Khanun’ as of 4:50 am, July 28, 2023. Photo courtesy of DOST-PAGASA |
At 4:00 am today, the center of Tropical Storm ‘Khanun’ was estimated based on all available data at 1,315 km East of Eastern Visayas.
‘Khanun’ has maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 80 km/h, and central pressure of 1000 hPa. It is moving west southwestward at 15 km/h.
GENERAL OUTLOOK FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD
After a period of generally west northwestward movement in the near term, ‘Khanun’ is forecast to turn and move generally north northwestward until Sunday afternoon over the Philippine Sea.
A west northwestward or northwestward turn may occur on late Sunday or early Monday while inside the PAR. Shifts in the track forecast remains possible as the circulation of ‘Khanun’ further consolidates.
It is forecast to continuously intensify within the next 5 days. It is forecast to become a typhoon tomorrow late evening or on Sunday early morning and reach its peak intensity by late Monday or early Tuesday.
However, the hoisting of wind signal over any portion of the country due to this tropical cyclone is unlikely.
This tropical cyclone may also enhance the Southwest Monsoon, which will trigger occasional or monsoon rains over the western portions of Luzon and Visayas beginning tomorrow or Sunday.
However, the magnitude, extent, and timing of monsoon enhancement and resulting rainfall may still change due to dependence of Southwest Monsoon enhancement on the intensity and movement of this tropical cyclone.
TROPICAL CYCLONES
Previously monitored typhoon ‘Egay’ left the PAR Thursday morning.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
SEE ALSO: LIST: Typhoon, tropical cyclone names in the Philippines 2023
— The Summit Express
