TLDR

  • XRP has been trading below $1.40 for 20 days, currently priced around $1.38.
  • Binance saw a rise in XRP withdrawals to 53% and a drop in deposits to 46%, mirroring conditions before XRP’s surge to $3.65 in June 2025.
  • XRP’s 30-day liquidity index on Binance has reached its lowest point since 2021.
  • Japan’s Rakuten is integrating XRP payments, making it available to 44 million users across 5 million merchants.
  • Traders are closely watching for a daily close above the $1.40–$1.42 range as a signal for a potential breakout.

(SeaPRwire) –   For the past 20 days, XRP has been trading within a narrow range below the $1.40 mark. Recent on-chain data and a significant adoption announcement from Japan are now drawing increased attention to the token.

xrp price
XRP Price

Crypto analyst Amr Taha has pointed out a change in transaction patterns on Binance. The seven-day average indicates that XRP withdrawals have increased to 53%, while deposits have decreased to 46%. This scenario is similar to what was observed in June 2025, just prior to XRP experiencing a 65% rally to its all-time high of $3.65.

Source; CryptoQuant

A decrease in deposits signifies fewer coins being moved onto exchanges, while an increase in withdrawals means coins are being taken off. Collectively, these trends suggest a reduction in selling pressure.

Furthermore, XRP’s 30-day liquidity index on Binance has fallen to 0.053, marking its lowest level since 2021. The 30-day trading volume is approximately 3.77 billion XRP, indicating one of the quieter trading periods in recent years.

The price action reflects this slowdown, with XRP currently trading near $1.38 and showing minimal movement over the last three weeks.

Futures Data and Key Levels

In the futures market, the aggregated spot cumulative volume delta (CVD) stands at -$153 million, and the futures CVD is near -$295 million. These figures suggest a decrease in aggressive selling rather than strong buying activity.

Funding rates have turned slightly positive at 0.06%, indicating a mild bullish bias. Open interest has risen to nearly $769 million, suggesting the establishment of new positions.

From a technical perspective, a daily close above $1.40 could pave the way for a move towards the $1.60–$1.67 range. The $1.40 level also aligns with the 50-day moving average.

Approximately $250–$300 million in cumulative long and short positions are at risk within a 10% price fluctuation in either direction.

Rakuten Integrates XRP for 44 Million Users

Japanese e-commerce giant Rakuten has announced the integration of XRP into its payment application. This integration will extend to over 5 million merchants, enabling users to spend, earn, and hold XRP through Rakuten Wallet.

Users will also have the option to purchase XRP using Rakuten loyalty points, of which over $23 billion are currently in circulation across the platform.

Following this news, XRP saw an increase from $1.32 to $1.38, breaking through previous resistance levels on significant volume. The movement was gradual and sustained, which analysts interpret as accumulation rather than a temporary surge.

XRP remains within a broader downtrend channel. ETF outflows and ongoing realized losses indicate that longer-term conviction is still mixed.

Traders are monitoring $1.37 as a critical support level. A decline below $1.32–$1.30 would negate the current breakout. A clear move above $1.40–$1.42 is necessary to confirm stronger upward momentum.

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